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Solar Radiation Prediction Using Machine Learning and Feature Engineering: A Comparative Analysis with AutoML Optimization

  • Unique Paper ID: 182060
  • Volume: 12
  • Issue: 2
  • PageNo: 614-620
  • Abstract:
  • Accurate prediction of solar radiation is essential for optimizing renewable energy generation. This study utilizes machine learning models such as XGBoost, Random Forest, LightGBM, Neural Networks and stacked ensemble model to predict solar radiation. These models are trained and evaluated using historical weather data, including meteorological characteristics such as temperature, humidity, wind speed, and surface pressure. To improve prediction accuracy, the dataset is enhanced with manually engineered features, including rolling averages, lag values, and additional time-based variables such as day and month, thereby enabling the models to more effectively capture complex temporal patterns in solar radiation dynamics. Performance metrics such as R² (coefficient of determination), MAE (mean absolute error), MSE (mean squared error), and RMSE (root mean square error) are used to evaluate the effectiveness of the model. The goal of this research is to improve the accuracy of solar radiation prediction and contribute to the advancement of renewable energy systems and sustainable energy planning.
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Cite This Article

  • ISSN: 2349-6002
  • Volume: 12
  • Issue: 2
  • PageNo: 614-620

Solar Radiation Prediction Using Machine Learning and Feature Engineering: A Comparative Analysis with AutoML Optimization

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UGC Approved
Journal no 47859

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