Analysis and Prediction of Air Quality Index (AQI) in Gorakhpur During Diwali Festival Using Python (2016–2027)

  • Unique Paper ID: 196330
  • PageNo: 2757-2765
  • Abstract:
  • This research talks about Gorakhpur during festival time and how air quality changes every year. Diwali is a well-known problem across India, but most research and media attention goes to Delhi. The city is located near GIDA Industrial zone on flat plate area, where pollutants are trapped. When Diwali comes in November, cold air goes downward therefore pollution is not separated and remains frozen. Our group members collected AQI readings for the Diwali period (2016–2024) at three stations in Gorakhpur: MMMUT (Madan Mohan Malaviya University of Technology campus), JAL KAL (near Jal Nigam office with high traffic), and GIDA (near Gorakhpur Industrial Development Authority zone). For every station, we built a Linear Regression model using Python, then used those models to predict the Diwali AQI at each station in 2026 and 2027. MMMUT showed a downward trend. JAL KAL showed no clear trend due to weather conditions. GIDA gave the most serious result, with the highest AQI of all three stations and an upward trend. Predicted AQI for 2026: 95.57 (MMMUT), 174.46 (JAL KAL), and 260.53 (GIDA). For 2027: 93.87, 174.26 and 265.23. The difference between MMMUT and GIDA in 2026 is about 165 AQI units, meaning GIDA is predicted to be nearly three times more serious than MMMUT on the same Diwali night.

Copyright & License

Copyright © 2026 Authors retain the copyright of this article. This article is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

BibTeX

@article{196330,
        author = {Vaibhav Kumar Mishra and Er. Prateek Shahi and Aditya Kumar and Rajesh Singh and Belal Ahmad Siddiqui and Mohammad Amanatullah},
        title = {Analysis and Prediction of Air Quality Index (AQI) in Gorakhpur During Diwali Festival Using Python (2016–2027)},
        journal = {International Journal of Innovative Research in Technology},
        year = {2026},
        volume = {12},
        number = {11},
        pages = {2757-2765},
        issn = {2349-6002},
        url = {https://ijirt.org/article?manuscript=196330},
        abstract = {This research talks about Gorakhpur during festival time and how air quality changes every year. Diwali is a well-known problem across India, but most research and media attention goes to Delhi. The city is located near GIDA Industrial zone on flat plate area, where pollutants are trapped. When Diwali comes in November, cold air goes downward therefore pollution is not separated and remains frozen. Our group members collected AQI readings for the Diwali period (2016–2024) at three stations in Gorakhpur: MMMUT (Madan Mohan Malaviya University of Technology campus), JAL KAL (near Jal Nigam office with high traffic), and GIDA (near Gorakhpur Industrial Development Authority zone). For every station, we built a Linear Regression model using Python, then used those models to predict the Diwali AQI at each station in 2026 and 2027. MMMUT showed a downward trend. JAL KAL showed no clear trend due to weather conditions. GIDA gave the most serious result, with the highest AQI of all three stations and an upward trend. Predicted AQI for 2026: 95.57 (MMMUT), 174.46 (JAL KAL), and 260.53 (GIDA). For 2027: 93.87, 174.26 and 265.23. The difference between MMMUT and GIDA in 2026 is about 165 AQI units, meaning GIDA is predicted to be nearly three times more serious than MMMUT on the same Diwali night.},
        keywords = {QI, Diwali pollution, Gorakhpur, MMMUT, JAL KAL, GIDA, Python, Linear Regression, air quality prediction, Uttar Pradesh.},
        month = {April},
        }

Cite This Article

Mishra, V. K., & Shahi, E. P., & Kumar, A., & Singh, R., & Siddiqui, B. A., & Amanatullah, M. (2026). Analysis and Prediction of Air Quality Index (AQI) in Gorakhpur During Diwali Festival Using Python (2016–2027). International Journal of Innovative Research in Technology (IJIRT), 12(11), 2757–2765.

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