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@article{180058,
author = {Imran Ahmad and Rohit Khubnani and Saurabh Patle and Saurabh Madan and DS Karthik},
title = {Saffron Crop Yield Prediction Using XGBoost & SVM Hybrid Machine Learning Models},
journal = {International Journal of Innovative Research in Technology},
year = {2025},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {354-363},
issn = {2349-6002},
url = {https://ijirt.org/article?manuscript=180058},
abstract = {Saffron (Crocus sativus L.), one of the most
valuable spices, is very susceptible to the environment,
cultivation practices, and soil properties. Traditional
yield forecasting methods sometimes fail to capture the
complex, non-linear dynamics influencing saffron
production. To tackle this challenge, this study proposes
a hybrid machine learning method that combines
Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and Support
Vector Machine (SVM) to reliably estimate saffron
production. The proposed model utilises XGBoost's
ability to handle large datasets and capture feature
importance, as well as SVM to increase forecast
accuracy in high-dimensional domains. The dataset
includes important climatic parameters such as soil
type, temperature, precipitation, and historical yield
records. Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Absolute
Percentage Error (MAPE), and Root Mean Squared
Error (RMSE) are used to compare the model's results
with those of the independent SVM and XGBoost
models in order to evaluate its performance.
Experimental results show that the hybrid XGBoost
SVM model outperforms individual models and
generates more reliable yield estimations. This study
shows how farmers can improve saffron production
techniques and more effectively allocate resources by
using advanced machine learning techniques in
precision agriculture. By encouraging data-driven
decision-making, the outcomes guarantee increased
production and financial efficiency in sustainable
saffron cultivation. We gathered and combined several
publicly accessible environmental and agronomic
datasets because there aren't many saffron yield
datasets. We extracted and standardized important
factors including rainfall, temperature, soil pH,
daylight hours, and altitude using sophisticated feature
engineering to produce a single dataset. Furthermore,
we examined each feature's weight to ascertain how
each one affected the forecast of saffron yield.},
keywords = {Support Vector Machine (SVM), XGBoost, hybrid model, machine learning (ML), and saffron yield forecast.},
month = {May},
}
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