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@article{210861,
author = {Appalanaidu Yalla and Dr. Sharmila Sujatha},
title = {Structural Reliability Analysis using Machine Learning Techniques},
journal = {International Journal of Innovative Research in Technology},
year = {2026},
volume = {13},
number = {6},
pages = {2346-2355},
issn = {2349-6002},
url = {https://ijirt.org/article?manuscript=210861},
abstract = {Structural reliability analysis estimates the probability of failure Pf of a component whose material, geometric and loading parameters are uncertain. Monte Carlo simulation (MCS), the first- and second-order reliability methods (FORM and SORM) and importance sampling (IS) become costly or inaccurate when limit-state evaluations are expensive or strongly nonlinear. This paper develops a MATLAB framework in which machine-learning surrogates, namely the artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machine (SVM), support vector regression (SVR), Gaussian process regression (GPR/Kriging), active-learning Kriging (AK) and random forest (RF), replace the limit-state function in MCS. It is applied to two mechanical components: a beam in bending with ten uncertain variables (a 10,000-sample dataset with 1.46% failures) and a shaft under combined bending and torsion governed by the von Mises criterion (100,000 samples). For the beam, surrogates trained on 7,000 samples evaluated 100,000 Monte Carlo samples; the ANN, SVR and GPR estimates of Pf (0.01388, 0.01449 and 0.01448) lie within the sampling uncertainty of the dataset value 0.0146, and GPR fits best (coefficient of determination R2 = 0.99998), whereas RF underestimates Pf (0.00517) despite R2 = 0.92252. For the shaft, MCS gives Pf = 0.33362, and ANN-MCS, Kriging-MCS and AK-MCS lie within 0.4% of it, while FORM and SORM differ by 4.6% and 2.7%. Because both limit states are analytical, direct MCS was faster than every surrogate; surrogates are therefore justified mainly where each evaluation needs finite-element or other costly analysis.},
keywords = {Active learning, Artificial neural network, Gaussian process regression, Kriging, Monte Carlo simulation, Reliability index, Structural reliability, Support vector regression, Surrogate modelling},
month = {November},
}
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